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Not affiliated with UFC.","广州量维智能安全技术有限公司","粤ICP备2026129121号",{"event":19,"fight_card":42,"venue":7,"location_raw":27,"viewing":48,"fights":49,"followed":13,"reminder_enabled":13},{"id":20,"slug":21,"name":22,"name_zh":23,"date_utc":24,"live_start_at":24,"timezone":25,"status":26,"city":27,"location_zh":28,"poster":29,"main_a_avatar":31,"main_b_avatar":35,"main_a_name_en":34,"main_a_name_zh":33,"main_b_name_en":38,"main_b_name_zh":37,"data_quality":39,"target":40},1588,"ufc-fight-night-tbd-vs-tbd-9","UFC Fight Night: Quillan Salkilld VS Benoît Saint Denis","UFC 格斗之夜：奎兰·萨尔基尔德 VS 伯努瓦·圣但尼","2027-02-06T22:00:00Z","UTC","upcoming","Afterpay Arena Sydney Olympic Park NSW Australia","澳大利亚新南威尔士州悉尼奥林匹克公园Afterpay竞技场",{"url":30,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":23,"alt_en":22},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002Fcc\u002Fccd86097d1308f474660ce91c45d5843d5bb93604074d9db6de6549994bb13f4.jpg",{"url":32,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":33,"alt_en":34},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F27\u002F27046a17bb47ece0fcd546b3ff015fc4180d550623a865ee5e1dafe23d07fd4e.jpg","奎兰·萨尔基尔德","Quillan Salkilld",{"url":36,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":37,"alt_en":38},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F0a\u002F0ae033ad51b883e62ff323c7bbfdd1eb8074c32d3326f59c5c32fd94f99c9681.jpg","伯努瓦·圣但尼","Benoît Saint Denis","complete",{"kind":41,"ref":21,"fight_id":7},"event",{"url":43,"thumb_url":7,"width":44,"height":45,"alt_zh":46,"alt_en":47},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fevent-cards\u002F1588\u002F633d1a338411a5d055538f0863bb99bda8afefe8a3bf796aeaadc3ab27d4a75d.png",1200,1662,"UFC 格斗之夜：奎兰·萨尔基尔德 VS 伯努瓦·圣但尼 全阵容战卡","UFC Fight Night: Quillan Salkilld VS Benoît Saint Denis full fight card",{},[50,124,187,249],{"id":51,"bout_order":52,"weight_class":53,"weight_class_zh":54,"is_main_event":8,"is_title_fight":13,"fighter_a":55,"fighter_b":70,"fighter_a_name":34,"fighter_b_name":38,"result":82,"bout_status":83,"official_fight_id":84,"result_source":7,"result_updated_at":7,"method":7,"method_zh":7,"end_round":7,"end_time":7,"odds_a":7,"odds_b":7,"favor_a_pct":7,"favor_b_pct":7,"market_odds":7,"prediction":85,"predictions":98,"pick_distribution":120,"my_pick":7,"my_pick_detail":7,"prediction_market":121},62819,0,"Lightweight","轻量级",{"id":56,"slug":57,"name_en":34,"name_zh":33,"nickname":7,"weight_class":53,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":58,"country":59,"country_zh":60,"country_code":61,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":63,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":67,"target":68},3348,"quillan-salkilld","13-1-0","Australia","澳大利亚","AU","active",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":65,"fresh":8},"Active","2026-11-07T20:32:55.867954Z","verified",{"url":32,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":33,"alt_en":34},{"kind":69,"ref":57,"fight_id":7},"fighter",{"id":71,"slug":72,"name_en":38,"name_zh":37,"nickname":73,"weight_class":53,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":74,"country":75,"country_zh":76,"country_code":77,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":78,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":80,"target":81},3329,"benoit-saint-denis","God of War","17-4-0","France","法国","FR",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":79,"fresh":8},"2026-11-07T20:33:25.774061Z",{"url":36,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":37,"alt_en":38},{"kind":69,"ref":72,"fight_id":7},"pending","scheduled","13240",{"id":86,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":90,"fighter_b_win_pct":91,"confidence":92,"analysis_zh":93,"analysis_en":94,"data_at":95,"prompt_version":96,"method_dist":97,"version":96,"sample_size":7,"uncertainty":7},526,"GPT","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fbranding\u002Fai-models\u002Fopenai.svg","fighter_a",57,43,0.56,"萨尔基尔德近期 UFC 6 战全胜，且生涯 KO、降服各 5 次，终结手段均衡。其有效打击防守率与防摔率高于圣但尼，抱摔频率也更高；较长臂展或有帮助。圣但尼有效打击量和降服威胁突出，且 UFC 资历更深、排名高一位，仍具明显危险。判断把握有限：萨尔基尔德抱摔成功率缺失，双方后台技能评分均缺失，近期样本量也不同。","Salkilld is 6-0 in the supplied recent UFC results and has balanced career finishing totals of five KO and five submission wins. His listed striking defense and takedown defense are better, with a higher takedown pace and longer reach. Saint Denis brings greater striking volume, submission threat, UFC experience, and a one-place ranking edge, so remains dangerous. Confidence is limited because Salkilld's takedown accuracy and both fighters' manual skill scores are unavailable, and recent-sample sizes differ.","2026-11-02T22:20:41.675560Z","v20261007-input-v3",{},[99,100,110],{"id":86,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":90,"fighter_b_win_pct":91,"confidence":92,"analysis_zh":93,"analysis_en":94,"data_at":95,"prompt_version":96},{"id":101,"model_name":102,"model_icon_url":103,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":104,"fighter_b_win_pct":105,"confidence":106,"analysis_zh":107,"analysis_en":108,"data_at":109,"prompt_version":96},525,"Claude","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fbranding\u002Fai-models\u002Fclaude.svg",60,40,0.58,"萨尔基尔德UFC 6战全胜，近三战一回合终结加姆罗特、达里乌什和马拉基，对手质量逐步提升。他26岁，臂展长约5厘米，场均承受有效打击2.79次\u002F分，低于圣但尼的4.09。防摔率81%高于对手的72%，抱摔量6.86次\u002F15分钟，降服与击倒威胁均处高位。圣但尼终结能力强，17胜全部为终结，降服威胁1.73次\u002F15分钟更高，打击量也更大。但他打击防守率仅42%，近8场UFC负3场，失利方式含KO、医生叫停，并在上一战52秒被降服，抗打和防守存在隐患。圣但尼2.9%的抱摔成功率与其抱摔量明显矛盾，数据可疑；萨尔基尔德缺少抱摔成功率且UFC样本较小。因此只略微看好萨尔基尔德，把握有限。","Salkilld is 6-0 in the UFC, with recent first-round finishes of Gamrot, Dariush and Mullarkey against rising competition. He is 26 and holds a roughly 5 cm reach edge. He absorbs fewer strikes (2.79\u002Fmin vs 4.09) and has better takedown defense (81% vs 72%). His takedown volume (6.86\u002F15) is elite, and both his knockdown and submission threats rank highly. Saint Denis is a pure finisher, with all 17 wins inside the distance, a higher submission rate (1.73\u002F15) and more striking volume. However, his 42% striking defense is a weakness. He went 5-3 in his last eight UFC fights, losing by KO, doctor stoppage and a 52-second submission in his latest bout. His listed 2.9% takedown accuracy conflicts with his takedown volume and looks unreliable. Salkilld's takedown accuracy is missing and his UFC sample is small. Modest edge to Salkilld.","2026-11-02T22:20:35.267434Z",{"id":111,"model_name":112,"model_icon_url":113,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":114,"fighter_b_win_pct":115,"confidence":116,"analysis_zh":117,"analysis_en":118,"data_at":119,"prompt_version":96},524,"DeepSeek","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F70\u002F707b1d66db538a9f4cf473479682cc8acb4f934a9f0a360cf1e3eb65914eead2.jpg",58,42,0.61,"萨尔基尔德目前UFC 6战全胜，近6场有5场首轮终结，击败过Gamrot、Dariush等高质量对手；打击量略低于圣但尼，但命中率接近，且防摔率81%明显更稳。圣但尼打击量与命中率稍高、降服威胁更大，但UFC抱摔成功率仅2.9%、防摔率72%，且近期3负分别被Pimblett降服、被Moicano医生叫停、被Poirier KO，吸收打击4.09\u002F分钟偏高。萨尔基尔德兼具摔跤压制、首轮KO和降服能力，若能避开圣但尼的断头台\u002F下位降服，更可能通过站立击倒或上位终结。因双方手动技能评分缺失、萨尔基尔德雷达缺抱摔成功率，判断把握中等。","Salkilld is 6-0 in the UFC with five first-round finishes in his last six, including wins over Gamrot and Dariush. Saint Denis has slightly higher striking volume\u002Faccuracy and submission threat, but his UFC takedown accuracy is only 2.9%, takedown defense is 72%, and he absorbs 4.09 significant strikes\u002Fmin. Recent losses to Pimblett, Moicano, and Poirier expose defensive\u002Fsubmission vulnerabilities. Salkilld's 81% takedown defense and 6.86 takedowns\u002F15 min give him control paths, plus KO\u002Fsub finishing diversity. Saint Denis' guillotine\u002FRNC threat keeps him live, but Salkilld's momentum, defense, and finishing variety give the edge. Confidence is moderate because manual skill scores are missing and Salkilld's radar lacks takedown accuracy.","2026-11-02T22:20:21.947477Z",{"fighter_a":52,"fighter_b":52,"total":52,"fighter_a_pct":52,"fighter_b_pct":52},{"pickable":13,"locked_reason":122,"odds_updated_at":7,"source":123},"暂缺完整双边市场数据","ufc.com",{"id":125,"bout_order":126,"weight_class":127,"weight_class_zh":128,"is_main_event":13,"is_title_fight":13,"fighter_a":129,"fighter_b":144,"fighter_a_name":132,"fighter_b_name":147,"result":82,"bout_status":83,"official_fight_id":156,"result_source":7,"result_updated_at":7,"method":7,"method_zh":7,"end_round":7,"end_time":7,"odds_a":7,"odds_b":7,"favor_a_pct":7,"favor_b_pct":7,"market_odds":7,"prediction":157,"predictions":167,"pick_distribution":185,"my_pick":7,"my_pick_detail":7,"prediction_market":186},62820,1,"Light Heavyweight","轻重量级",{"id":130,"slug":131,"name_en":132,"name_zh":133,"nickname":134,"weight_class":127,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":135,"country":136,"country_zh":137,"country_code":138,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":139,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":141,"target":143},1475,"bogdan-guskov","Bogdan Guskov","博格丹·古斯科夫","Czarevitch","18-3-0","Uzbekistan","乌兹别克斯坦","UZ",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":140,"fresh":8},"2026-11-07T20:31:45.005169Z",{"url":142,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":133,"alt_en":132},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002Fb8\u002Fb8b3075969e66af8da5c8222ec5d754c8a92b1e3a20c4b911aecd6ddd8d3b5de.jpg",{"kind":69,"ref":131,"fight_id":7},{"id":145,"slug":146,"name_en":147,"name_zh":148,"nickname":149,"weight_class":127,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":150,"country":59,"country_zh":60,"country_code":61,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":151,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":153,"target":155},4118,"robert-whittaker","Robert Whittaker","罗伯特·惠特克","The Reaper","28-9-0",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":152,"fresh":8},"2026-11-07T20:31:43.960174Z",{"url":154,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":148,"alt_en":147},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002Fd9\u002Fd9691420a3bf7265f072d69a0d85c286299e85552016279ff2ccd02837d91caf.jpg",{"kind":69,"ref":146,"fight_id":7},"13241",{"id":158,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":159,"fighter_a_win_pct":160,"fighter_b_win_pct":161,"confidence":162,"analysis_zh":163,"analysis_en":164,"data_at":165,"prompt_version":96,"method_dist":166,"version":96,"sample_size":7,"uncertainty":7},529,"fighter_b",38,62,0.59,"惠特克的近期战绩为近8场4胜4负，古斯科夫近7场4胜2负1平，古斯科夫近期表现不差且以终结见长：18胜中15次KO，近期也有多场KO胜利。但惠特克的累计有效击打数据更扎实（1489次命中），输出更高、防守率更好，且击倒威胁指标明显占优；其防摔率也更高。古斯科夫身高臂展占优、打击命中率更高，具备爆冷机会。官方排名接近（10与11）。后台技能评分缺失，古斯科夫雷达缺抱摔成功率；没有具体打击目标分布，判断把握因此下调。","Whittaker's recent UFC sample is 4-4 over eight bouts; Guskov is 4-2-1 over seven and brings substantial finishing power, with 15 career KO wins and several recent stoppages. Whittaker's larger accumulated striking sample (1,489 significant strikes landed), higher output, better striking defense, stronger knockdown-threat metric, and better takedown defense support a modest edge. Guskov has the height and reach advantage and higher striking accuracy, so an upset remains plausible. Their rankings are close, 11th and 10th. Manual skill scores are absent, Guskov's radar lacks takedown accuracy, and target-specific strike data are unavailable, lowering confidence.","2026-11-02T22:21:20.969574Z",{},[168,169,177],{"id":158,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":159,"fighter_a_win_pct":160,"fighter_b_win_pct":161,"confidence":162,"analysis_zh":163,"analysis_en":164,"data_at":165,"prompt_version":96},{"id":170,"model_name":102,"model_icon_url":103,"predicted_winner":159,"fighter_a_win_pct":171,"fighter_b_win_pct":172,"confidence":173,"analysis_zh":174,"analysis_en":175,"data_at":176,"prompt_version":96},528,46,54,0.52,"惠特克略占优，但把握偏低。他的UFC数据样本大（命中1489次有效打击），每分钟命中4.41次，高于古斯科夫的3.87次；打击防守率59%对50%，防摔率80%对50%。两人每分钟承受的有效打击同为3.4次。古斯科夫是天然轻重量级，身高和臂展占优（193对186.7cm），终结能力强，18胜全部为终结、13次首回合结束比赛。两人的共同对手是克雷洛夫：古斯科夫首回合KO，惠特克第三回合TKO。不利于惠特克的因素：35岁，体重记录仅185.5磅，存在体型劣势，且曾被KO和降服。古斯科夫最近一战第五回合被安卡拉耶夫KO，之前与布拉霍维奇战平。他的数据只有58次命中，击倒等多项为0，与15场KO胜利明显矛盾，雷达图也缺抱摔成功率一项，因此其数据可信度低，整体把握相应下调。","Slight edge to Whittaker, with low confidence. His UFC sample is large (1,489 significant strikes landed). He lands 4.41 per minute against Guskov's 3.87, defends strikes at 59% versus 50%, and stops takedowns at 80% versus 50%. Both absorb 3.4 significant strikes per minute. Guskov is the natural light heavyweight, taller and longer (193 vs 186.7 cm reach). He is a finisher: all 18 wins came by stoppage, 13 of them in round one. On their common opponent Krylov, Guskov won by R1 KO and Whittaker by R3 TKO. Concerns for Whittaker: he is 35, his listed weight is only 185.5 lbs, he faces a size gap, and he has been both KO'd and submitted before. Guskov was KO'd by Ankalaev in round 5 in his last fight and drew with Błachowicz before that. His stats are unreliable: only 58 strikes landed and zero knockdowns, which contradicts his 15 KO wins, and his radar is missing takedown accuracy. Confidence is reduced accordingly.","2026-11-02T22:21:13.113781Z",{"id":178,"model_name":112,"model_icon_url":113,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":179,"fighter_b_win_pct":180,"confidence":181,"analysis_zh":182,"analysis_en":183,"data_at":184,"prompt_version":96},527,56,44,0.6,"以提供数据为准：Guskov 18-3，15 KO\u002F3 降服，83% 胜利为 KO，13 次首轮终结；身高 190.5cm、臂展 193cm，打击命中率 51.3%，有效打击 3.87\u002Fmin，但打击防守 50%、防摔 50%，抱摔量 0，雷达缺抱摔成功率。Whittaker 28-9，经验更丰富，打击量 4.41\u002Fmin、打击防守 59%、防摔 80%、击倒威胁 0.53\u002F15，但命中率仅 43.4%，摔跤成功率 9.5%，年龄 35，最近 8 场 4-4，被 KO\u002F降服各一次。Whittaker 的摔跤效率低，难以利用 Guskov 防摔弱点；Guskov 更年轻、体型更大、重拳更高效，站立对攻中终结概率更高。Whittaker 需靠防守和经验拖入判定。Guskov 抱摔数据缺失降低把握，但影响有限。预测 Guskov 56% 胜，Whittaker 44%。","Based on provided facts: Guskov is 18-3 with 15 KO\u002F3 submission wins, 83% KO rate, 13 first-round finishes; 190.5 cm height, 193 cm reach, 51.3% striking accuracy, 3.87 sig strikes\u002Fmin, but 50% striking defense, 50% takedown defense, 0 takedowns\u002F15 min, and missing takedown accuracy. Whittaker is 28-9, more experienced, 4.41 sig strikes\u002Fmin, 59% striking defense, 80% takedown defense, 0.53 knockdowns\u002F15 min, but only 43.4% accuracy, 9.5% takedown accuracy, age 35, 4-4 in last 8 with one KO loss and one submission loss. Whittaker's low takedown efficiency limits exploiting Guskov's weak takedown defense. Guskov is younger, larger, and more efficient with power, giving him a higher chance to finish on the feet. Whittaker needs defense and experience to reach a decision. Missing Guskov takedown accuracy lowers confidence, but impact is limited. Prediction: Guskov 56%, Whittaker 44%.","2026-11-02T22:20:57.126453Z",{"fighter_a":52,"fighter_b":52,"total":52,"fighter_a_pct":52,"fighter_b_pct":52},{"pickable":13,"locked_reason":122,"odds_updated_at":7,"source":123},{"id":188,"bout_order":189,"weight_class":190,"weight_class_zh":191,"is_main_event":13,"is_title_fight":13,"fighter_a":192,"fighter_b":207,"fighter_a_name":195,"fighter_b_name":210,"result":82,"bout_status":83,"official_fight_id":222,"result_source":7,"result_updated_at":7,"method":7,"method_zh":7,"end_round":7,"end_time":7,"odds_a":7,"odds_b":7,"favor_a_pct":7,"favor_b_pct":7,"market_odds":7,"prediction":223,"predictions":232,"pick_distribution":247,"my_pick":7,"my_pick_detail":7,"prediction_market":248},62824,2,"Featherweight","羽量级",{"id":193,"slug":194,"name_en":195,"name_zh":196,"nickname":197,"weight_class":190,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":198,"country":199,"country_zh":200,"country_code":201,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":202,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":204,"target":206},4442,"marwan-rahiki","Marwan Rahiki","马尔万·拉希基","Freaky","9-1-0","Morocco","摩洛哥","MA",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":203,"fresh":8},"2026-11-07T20:26:17.693860Z",{"url":205,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":196,"alt_en":195},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002F7c\u002F7ca44e3ee10eca8db375fcaa27336eff88a4e0cd427a6ce2ac484f3bb947c507.jpg",{"kind":69,"ref":194,"fight_id":7},{"id":208,"slug":209,"name_en":210,"name_zh":211,"nickname":212,"weight_class":190,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":213,"country":214,"country_zh":215,"country_code":216,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":217,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":219,"target":221},4214,"joo-sang-yoo","JooSang Yoo","柳周相","Zombie Jr.","9-2-0","South Korea","韩国","KR",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":218,"fresh":8},"2026-11-07T20:32:55.795479Z",{"url":220,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":211,"alt_en":210},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002Fb0\u002Fb0f8fa45691300e056af1b6efbe573fc22e8737329ad2e62f98cda4c8ef8297d.jpg",{"kind":69,"ref":209,"fight_id":7},"13243",{"id":224,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":225,"fighter_b_win_pct":226,"confidence":227,"analysis_zh":228,"analysis_en":229,"data_at":230,"prompt_version":96,"method_dist":231,"version":96,"sample_size":7,"uncertainty":7},541,68,32,0.62,"拉希基的有效击打量、命中率、防守率及击倒威胁指标均明显占优，生涯9胜中8次KO，且体型数据略有优势。柳周相防摔率较高，但抱摔频率有限，难以确认能否稳定转入地面。拉希基近期UFC战绩为2胜1负，柳周相为1胜2负；样本都只有3场。双方抱摔成功率缺失，且无后台技能评分和官方排名，因此判断把握有限。","Rahiki has clear edges in significant-strike volume, accuracy, defense, and knockdown threat; eight of his nine career wins are by KO, and his listed measurements give him a slight size edge. Yoo has stronger takedown defense, but his takedown rate is modest, so sustained grappling control is uncertain. Their recent UFC samples are small: Rahiki is 2-1 and Yoo 1-2. Takedown accuracy, manual skill scores, and official rankings are unavailable, limiting confidence.","2026-11-04T22:21:58.624259Z",{},[233,234,241],{"id":224,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":225,"fighter_b_win_pct":226,"confidence":227,"analysis_zh":228,"analysis_en":229,"data_at":230,"prompt_version":96},{"id":235,"model_name":102,"model_icon_url":103,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":236,"fighter_b_win_pct":237,"confidence":181,"analysis_zh":238,"analysis_en":239,"data_at":240,"prompt_version":96},540,66,34,"拉希基（24岁）打击数据全面占优。他每分钟有效打击6.69次，柳周相为3.99次；命中率49.5%对43.2%，打击防守60%对53%，每15分钟击倒1.71次对0.72次。他的9场胜利中有8场是KO，UFC战绩2-1，唯一的失利是点数判负。柳周相UFC战绩1-2，曾被KO，场均吸收4.76次有效打击。拉希基的主要弱点是防摔率仅38%。但柳周相每15分钟只有0.72次抱摔，降服威胁为0，地面进攻能力有限，难以持续利用这一弱点。柳周相的力量与早回合终结能力（曾28秒KO对手）是主要冷门路径。双方UFC样本均只有3场，缺少抱摔成功率、技能评分和排名数据，因此判断把握中等。","Rahiki (24) holds clear statistical striking edges. He lands 6.69 significant strikes per minute to Yoo's 3.99. His accuracy is higher (49.5% vs 43.2%), as is his striking defense (60% vs 53%). He also scores knockdowns at more than twice Yoo's rate (1.71 vs 0.72 per 15 min). Eight of his nine wins came by KO, and he is 2-1 in the UFC, with his only loss on a decision. Yoo is 1-2 in the UFC, has been KO'd, and absorbs 4.76 strikes per minute. Rahiki's weak spot is 38% takedown defense. However, Yoo averages only 0.72 takedowns per 15 minutes with zero submission attempts, so he has limited means to exploit it. Yoo's main upset path is his early power, shown by a 28-second KO. Both fighters have only three UFC fights, and takedown accuracy, skill scores and rankings are missing, so confidence is moderate.","2026-11-04T22:21:52.890873Z",{"id":242,"model_name":112,"model_icon_url":113,"predicted_winner":89,"fighter_a_win_pct":225,"fighter_b_win_pct":226,"confidence":243,"analysis_zh":244,"analysis_en":245,"data_at":246,"prompt_version":96},539,0.72,"拉希基在打击端优势明显：有效打击量6.69\u002F分钟、命中率49.5%、打击防守率60%，击倒威胁达97.4百分位，且9胜中8次KO，站立输出与终结能力突出。柳周相打击量3.99\u002F分钟、命中率43.2%、防守率53%，均处下风，近期1胜2负且被KO一次。柳周相抱摔量0.72\u002F15分钟、防摔率67%略优，但降服威胁为0，难以持续压制。拉希基防摔率仅38%是隐患，可能被拖入缠斗，但其打击统治力与年龄优势（24对32）更可能主导比赛。","Rahiki holds a clear striking edge: 6.69 significant strikes\u002Fmin, 49.5% accuracy, 60% striking defense, and a 97.4-percentile knockdown threat, with 8 of 9 wins by KO. Yoo trails at 3.99\u002Fmin, 43.2% accuracy, and 53% striking defense, and is 1-2 recently, including a KO loss. Yoo's 0.72 takedowns\u002F15min and 67% takedown defense are modest advantages, but his submission threat is zero, limiting sustained control. Rahiki's 38% takedown defense is a concern, yet his striking dominance and youth (24 vs 32) should let him control the fight.","2026-11-04T22:21:42.498994Z",{"fighter_a":52,"fighter_b":52,"total":52,"fighter_a_pct":52,"fighter_b_pct":52},{"pickable":13,"locked_reason":122,"odds_updated_at":7,"source":123},{"id":250,"bout_order":251,"weight_class":190,"weight_class_zh":191,"is_main_event":13,"is_title_fight":13,"fighter_a":252,"fighter_b":264,"fighter_a_name":255,"fighter_b_name":267,"result":82,"bout_status":83,"official_fight_id":279,"result_source":7,"result_updated_at":7,"method":7,"method_zh":7,"end_round":7,"end_time":7,"odds_a":7,"odds_b":7,"favor_a_pct":7,"favor_b_pct":7,"market_odds":7,"prediction":280,"predictions":288,"pick_distribution":301,"my_pick":7,"my_pick_detail":7,"prediction_market":302},62825,3,{"id":253,"slug":254,"name_en":255,"name_zh":256,"nickname":257,"weight_class":190,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":258,"country":59,"country_zh":60,"country_code":61,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":259,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":261,"target":263},2793,"kaan-ofli","Kaan Ofli","卡安·奥弗利","Genghis","15-4-1",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":260,"fresh":8},"2026-11-07T20:29:46.247841Z",{"url":262,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":256,"alt_en":255},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002Fdc\u002Fdc066f1e7980c36b58dd0a2a2f6c2efd0f0905151d3e82ba7daa64f1355de0df.jpg",{"kind":69,"ref":254,"fight_id":7},{"id":265,"slug":266,"name_en":267,"name_zh":268,"nickname":269,"weight_class":190,"weight_class_zh":7,"record":270,"country":271,"country_zh":272,"country_code":273,"is_chinese":13,"status":62,"ufc_profile_status":274,"is_champion":13,"recently_competed":13,"avatar_status":66,"profile_sync_status":39,"avatar":276,"target":278},466,"joanderson-brito","Joanderson Brito","乔安德森·布里托","Tubarao","20-5-1","Brazil","巴西","BR",{"value":62,"raw":64,"observed_at":275,"fresh":8},"2026-11-07T20:34:07.730156Z",{"url":277,"thumb_url":7,"width":7,"height":7,"alt_zh":268,"alt_en":267},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.ufcfans.cn\u002Fobjects\u002Fa6\u002Fa6da9e424e859cf010f8bf88d946ae911e6f1cb993c39ad09e0405346ce49792.jpg",{"kind":69,"ref":266,"fight_id":7},"13244",{"id":281,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":159,"fighter_a_win_pct":282,"fighter_b_win_pct":283,"confidence":116,"analysis_zh":284,"analysis_en":285,"data_at":286,"prompt_version":96,"method_dist":287,"version":96,"sample_size":7,"uncertainty":7},544,36,64,"布里托的整体履历与近期 UFC 表现更强：生涯 20 胜，所列近 8 场 6 胜，且 KO 与降服终结能力兼备。其臂展多约 15 厘米，打击命中率更高，摔抱尝试量和降服威胁也较突出；但防守命中率偏低，抱摔成功率仅 6.5%，优势并非全面。奥弗利近 5 场 UFC 为 3 胜 2 负，降服威胁明显，且打击防守数据较好；不过其抱摔成功率、防摔率缺失。赛事标题所列选手与数据中的选手不符，且双方均无官方排名或有效后台技能评分，故降低把握。","Brito has the stronger overall record and recent UFC run: 20 career wins and 6 wins in the listed last eight, with substantial KO and submission finishing ability. He also has roughly 15 cm more reach, higher striking accuracy, and greater takedown volume and submission threat, though his striking defense is weak and his takedown accuracy is only 6.5%. Ofli is 3-2 in his last five UFC bouts, has a meaningful submission threat, and better listed striking defense, but his takedown accuracy and defense are unavailable. The event title does not match the fighters in the supplied profiles; neither has an official ranking or valid manual skill scores, so confidence is reduced.","2026-11-04T22:22:33.598630Z",{},[289,290,295],{"id":281,"model_name":87,"model_icon_url":88,"predicted_winner":159,"fighter_a_win_pct":282,"fighter_b_win_pct":283,"confidence":116,"analysis_zh":284,"analysis_en":285,"data_at":286,"prompt_version":96},{"id":291,"model_name":102,"model_icon_url":103,"predicted_winner":159,"fighter_a_win_pct":160,"fighter_b_win_pct":161,"confidence":106,"analysis_zh":292,"analysis_en":293,"data_at":294,"prompt_version":96},543,"布里托的UFC样本更大，近8场6胜2负，近期三连胜，其中第一回合KO吉加·奇卡泽、降服莱维特。他职业生涯9次KO、8次降服，终结手段全面，并有约15厘米臂展优势。他的打击命中率为52%，每分钟吸收2.31次有效打击。奥弗利近三战全胜，降服威胁较高（8次降服），但UFC战绩仅3胜2负，曾被KO，每分钟吸收3.17次有效打击，偏高。风险方面，布里托的打击防守率只有44%，给对手留下机会。数据方面，奥弗利缺少抱摔成功率和防摔率，布里托的抱摔数据前后矛盾（3.16次\u002F15分钟，但31次尝试仅成功2次，成功率6.5%），因此降低把握。","Brito brings the larger UFC sample: 6-2 over his last eight, including three straight wins. Those include a first-round KO of Chikadze and a submission of Leavitt. He has a balanced finishing profile (9 KO, 8 sub), a roughly 15 cm reach edge, 52% striking accuracy and 2.31 absorbed per minute. Ofli has won three straight and carries a real submission threat (8 subs). However, he is only 3-2 in the UFC, has been KO'd, and absorbs 3.17 strikes per minute. Brito's 44% striking defense is a vulnerability. Confidence is reduced for two reasons: Ofli's takedown accuracy and defense are missing, and Brito's takedown data is internally inconsistent (3.16 per 15 min vs 2 of 31 landed, 6.5%).","2026-11-04T22:22:25.533394Z",{"id":296,"model_name":112,"model_icon_url":113,"predicted_winner":159,"fighter_a_win_pct":160,"fighter_b_win_pct":161,"confidence":297,"analysis_zh":298,"analysis_en":299,"data_at":300,"prompt_version":96},542,0.64,"布里托在生涯战绩（20-5-1）、终结率（17\u002F20）、KO 胜场（9）和最近8场UFC 6-2上占优，且身高\u002F臂展明显领先，打击命中率52%高于奥弗利47.8%，降服威胁与抱摔量也更高。奥弗利的优势在打击防守57%、击倒威胁和近期三连胜，且布里托抱摔成功率仅6.5%、打击防守44%，给奥弗利反击和降服机会。但奥弗利缺少防摔率与抱摔成功率数据，面对布里托的高压抱摔和重击存在不确定性。综合判断布里托以臂展、力量和更丰富的终结手段略占上风，但并非高把握。","Brito has the stronger overall resume (20-5-1), higher finish rate (17\u002F20), more KO wins (9), and a 6-2 recent UFC sample, plus a significant height\u002Freach edge. His striking accuracy (52%) and submission threat\u002Ftakedown volume also top Ofli. Ofli counters with better striking defense (57%), knockdown threat, and a three-fight win streak. Brito's poor takedown accuracy (6.5%) and low striking defense (44%) leave room for Ofli to land and threaten submissions. However, Ofli's missing takedown accuracy\u002Fdefense data adds uncertainty against Brito's pressure and power. Brito is favored, but with moderate confidence.","2026-11-04T22:22:14.570734Z",{"fighter_a":52,"fighter_b":52,"total":52,"fighter_a_pct":52,"fighter_b_pct":52},{"pickable":13,"locked_reason":122,"odds_updated_at":7,"source":123}]